Dustin Johnson Sits Atop The Odds For The TOUR Championship

  • The final event of the FedEx Cup Season tees off this Friday with the TOUR Championship from East Lake in Atlanta.
  • The top 30 players in points will compete in this tournament under a unique starting strokes system that has the leader Dustin Johnson starting the tournament at 10-under par.
  • Johnson leads the golf betting odds to win the FedEx Cup at +210, followed by Jon Rahm at +300 and Justin Thomas at +550.

ATLANTAThe FedEx Cup Playoffs have reached the third and final stage this week as the best in golf head to East Lake for the TOUR Championship.

The finale of the race for the FedEx Cup will feature a field of just 30 players that have been whittled down over the last two Playoff tournaments.

This week, the tournament will compete under a unique strokes-based system known as FedEx Starting Strokes that began in 2019.

The top players in the FedEx Cup point standings entering the tournament Friday will be granted a head start in strokes based on their previous performance.

Dustin Johnson comes in as the leader in points after winning the Northern Trust and finishing second at the BMW Championship. Johnson will begin the tournament at 10-under par, giving him a tremendous advantage over the field.

Behind Johnson, Jon Rahm will begin the tournament at 8-under par after his win last week, Justin Thomas at 7-under, Webb Simpson at 6-under, and Collin Morikawa at 5-under par.

After that, the field is separated into groups of five who are given the same score based on points. Five players will start at 4-under, five at 3-under, and so forth going down to those close to the back of the group of 30, who will start at even par.

This format means golf bettors will have to take a different approach to who they take this week. Do they go with the favorites with the big head start? Or take the value and root for a comeback?

Betting odds are now available across all major online sportsbooks for who will win the tournament.

FedEx Cup Playoffs – TOUR Championship - Winner

  • Dustin Johnson +210
  • Jon Rahm +300
  • Justin Thomas +550
  • Webb Simpson +1100
  • Collin Morikawa +2000
  • Rory McIlroy +2000
  • Bryson DeChambeau +2500
  • Xander Schauffele +2500
  • Daniel Berger +2800
  • Hideki Matsuyama +3300
  • Tony Finau +5000
  • Harris English +6600
  • Patrick Reed +6600
  • Brendon Todd +8000
  • Scottie Scheffler +8000
  • Sung-Jae Im +8000
  • Joaquin Niemann +12500
  • Tyrrell Hatton +12500
  • Billy Horschel +15000
  • Kevin Kisner +15000
  • Viktor Hovland +15000
  • Sebastian Munoz +20000
  • Abraham Ancer +25000
  • Cameron Champ +25000
  • Lanto Griffin +25000
  • Ryan Palmer +25000
  • Cameron Smith +30000
  • Kevin Na +40000
  • Mackenzie Hughes +40000
  • Marc Leishman +50000

Looking at some of the top choices for this week yields some interesting analysis.

Dustin Johnson +210

Obviously, Johnson will be the favorite this week due to starting the tournament with a huge lead, but does his value make him a bad choice? Any golf bettor will tell you that getting any player at +210 to win a tournament is terrible value, but this week is just so different.

DJ has been playing his best golf of late, winning the Northern Trust at 30-under par, and coming up just short in a playoff at the BMW Championship.

Johnson made it to that playoff against Jon Rahm by draining a magical putt that broke twice on its way to the bottom of the cup.

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If Johnson can play at this same level for one more week with this giant lead, this tournament will be done and dusted before the final round.

Webb Simpson +1100

A very interesting decision came from the camp of Webb Simpson just a few weeks ago when he announced that he would skip the BMW Championship in order to rest up for the TOUR Championship this week.

Simpson had a stable lead in the FedEx point standings but fell back behind the three leaders after abstaining from the second leg of the playoffs.

Spider-Webb has been one of the best and most consistent players this entire season post-hiatus and has great success on this course in the past, scoring three top-fives in seven starts at East Lake.

This move could turn out to be the smartest play of the season if a well-rested Simpson can rise to the occasion.

Collin Morikawa +2000

PGA Champion and 2020’s golf darling Collin Morikawa will start this tournament at 5-under par this week and is available for a great value on most online sportsbooks.

While five strokes seem like a lot to make up, Morikawa is no stranger to comebacks, needing one of equal length to capture his first major championship just a few weeks ago.

Morikawa is one of the best pure ball strikers in the field this week and can use his accuracy to consistently hit birdie after birdie.

Collin also came in with back-to-back 68’s on the extremely tough course last week and could carry that momentum down to Atlanta.