Fade Sabalenka + Jabeur’s Cincinnati Spreads, Bet the Over

  • Aryna Sabalenka is a 3.5-game favorite against Daria Kasatkina at the Western & Southern Open
  • WTA Cincinnati odds favor Ons Jabeur by 3.5 games against Donna Vekic.
  • Head-to-head history favors the over in both matches.

CINCINNATI – WTA Cincinnati odds favor top five players Aryna Sabalenka and Ons Jabeur by 3.5 games against their third-round opponents. However, head-to-head history and recent matches give value to the underdogs to cover their spreads.

Aryna Sabalenka has -200 odds at USA online sportsbooks to defeat Daria Kasatkina despite losing two of three hard court matches against her.

Aryna Sabalenka Vs Daria Kasatkina Betting Lines

Player: Spread: Moneyline: Total:
Aryna Sabalenka -3.5 (-115) -200 O21.5 (-110)
Daria Kasatkina +3.5 (-115) +165 U21.5 (-120)

Sabalenka failed to cover a 3.5-game spread in three of her last four hard court matches. Daria Kasatkina defeated Aryna Sabalenka by six games at the Mubadala Silicon Valley Classic in San Jose a year ago.

Kasatkina’s 11-10 record on hard courts this season doesn’t compare to Aryna Sabalenka’s 22-4 hard record, but Kasatkina dominated her first two WTA Cincinnati opponents by eight or more games. The +165 moneyline odds at tennis sportsbooks have value for Daria Kasatkina to continue her success against the World No. 2 ranked WTA player.

All three of their head-to-head matches on hard courts went over the match total of 21.5 games. The total for Thursday’s match has -110 odds to go over.

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Bet on Donna Vekic to Cover and the Over

Ons Jabeur’s 18-6 combined record on grass and clay is much better than her struggling 5-4 record on hard courts this season. Meanwhile, Donna Vekic is 15-4 on hard courts and has all the momentum to cover the 3.5-game spread with -120 odds.

Ons Jabeur Vs Donna Vekic Betting Lines

Player: Spread: Moneyline: Total:
Ons Jabeur -3.5 (-110) -200 O21.5 (-120)
Donna Vekic +3.5 (-120) +165 U21.5 (-110)

Ons Jabeur failed to cover a 3.5-game spread in her first match since a Wimbledon finals loss exactly a month ago. Now, mobile sportsbooks favor Jabeur against Donna Vekic, who she is 3-1 against head-to-head.

However, Ons Jabeur and Donna Vekic haven’t faced each other since 2019. All three of their matches on hard courts went over the projected match total of 21.5 games for Thursday, making the over with -120 odds the best bet of the match.