Finding Betting Value In The Final Round Of 2021 US Open

  • US Open odds favor Louis Oosthuizen (+325), Bryson DeChambeau (+500), and Rory McIlroy (+500).
  • The US Open leaderboard has Mackenzie Hughes (+750), Louis Oosthuizen, and Russell Henley (+700) tied for first.

SAN DIEGO – With only 18 holes of golf left, the US Open enters its final round on Sunday.

Set to begin at 10 a.m. ET, golf betting fans wanting some last-minute action aren’t out of luck yet.

To recap, three golfers sit atop the US Open leaderboard at 5 under in Canadian Mackenzie Hughes, South African Louis Oosthuizen, and American Russell Henley.

Holding a two-stroke lead over Rory McIlroy and Bryson DeChambeau, the leaderboard falls off quickly afterward, with only 13 golfers under par.

When looking to bet on the US Open winner, bettors should note one important betting fact. Over the last 25 US Opens, the winner was in the top 6 (after 36 holes) in 24 of them.

Golfers Within Top 6 After 36

  • Richard Bland
  • Russell Henley
  • Louis Oosthuizen
  • Matthew Wolff
  • Jon Rahm
  • Bubba Watson

While Henley, Oosthuizen, Matthew Wolff, and Jon Rahm are still within striking distance, Richard Bland and Bubba Watson shot five over and six over, respectively.

With this, only the first four fall into this category as potential US Open winners to continue this trend.

However, the US Open odds don’t fall exactly in line with the leaderboard, leaving betting value wide open.

US Open Odds Heading Into Final Round

  • Louis Oosthuizen +325
  • Bryson DeChambeau +500
  • Rory McIlroy +500
  • Russell Henley +700
  • Mackenzie Hughes +750
  • Jon Rahm +1100
  • Matthew Wolff +2000
  • Dustin Johnson +2500
  • Scottie Scheffler +2500
  • Xander Schauffele +2500
  • Collin Morikawa +2800
  • Brooks Koepka +4000

Oosthuizen’s best finish at the US Open was in 2015, where he finished second, yet sits as the favorite heading into the last 18 holes.

This makes sense, as Oosthuizen has been one of the most consistent golfers at major events. Finishing 2nd or better in all four majors, he also has finished in the top-10 at the US Open four times over the last 10 years.

This also includes two top-5 finishes.

What Do The Golf Sportsbooks Want?

One thing some bettors pay attention to is how the sportsbooks react to the changing live golf odds. Notes from around both land-based and online sportsbooks see similarities in their desires.

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Xander Schauffele and Rahm are number 1 and 2 in liabilities, meaning the sportsbooks have the most money to payout (less profit) if one of these two golfers takes it.

In other words, both golfer’s odds will quickly shorten if they get hot early in the last round. Those looking to pick either should invest before the sportsbooks have to make major movements.

As for one of the co-leaders, sportsbooks are praying for a win from Henley.

Opening the 2021 US Open odds at +25000, Henley recorded a total of $0 of action at Nevada sportsbooks. After the first 18 holes, the action started coming in, as a $2 bet was put to his name.

Before the third round, the total floated around $300.

Of course, those with bets already in on the winner can find plenty of other golf betting odds from props, 3-ball betting, and more.

The action concludes on Sunday, with the Golf Channel holding the coverage until noon ET. Once the leaders begin their Round 4 US Open tee times, the coverage will switch to NBC until 8 p.m. ET, or a winner is crowned.