- Joe Burrow’s prop of 1.5 passing touchdowns is a heavily-favored -180 odds.
- Longest completion of 37.5 yards to Burrow’s dynamic weapons is -115 to go over.
- Burrow is 3-0 against the Chiefs and rides a 10-game win streak into the AFC Championship.
KANSAS CITY, Mo. – Joe Burrow and the red-hot Bengals will travel to Arrowhead to face Patrick Mahomes and the slight 1-point favorited Kansas City Chiefs in a rematch of last year’s AFC Championship. Burrow has never lost against the Chiefs and Mahomes with a perfect 3-0 record in his career.
Online sportsbooks have given Burrow various props ahead of the game such as -180 odds to throw for two or more passing touchdowns, and a longest completion prop of 37.5 yards that is -115 to go over.
Burrow’s Explosive Weapons Make for Long Completions
Burrow’s rapport with star wide receiver Ja’Marr Chase has centered hugely around the deep ball, with the receiver making some of his greatest plays this season deep downfield.
On the season, Burrow completed a 38+ yard completion in eight out of his 16 regular season games. What’s more is that in three games against the Chiefs in his career, Burrow has thrown a 40+ yard completion in each game, including two during last year’s AFC Championship.
This strong track record along with the Chiefs being among the more average pass defenses on the year means the -115 odds for Burrow to complete a 38+ yard pass can be a great prop for any NFL bettor to consider.
Pass TDs Prop Borders on Guaranteed
While nothing is guaranteed in the gambling world, few props have as much going for them as Joe Burrow’s over 1.5 total passing touchdowns which the best sportsbooks have listed at -180 odds. While the odds themselves are not very profitable, bettors can find value including it in a parlay entry for boosted payouts or placing big money on a prop that is statistically likely.
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Joe Burrow has consistently hit this prop throughout the season, throwing for two or more touchdowns in 12 of his 18 total games this season. Add in that Burrow has never thrown less than two touchdowns in his three career games vs the Chiefs already makes this prop bode extremely well for bettors.
But it gets better: the Chiefs defense has allowed the most passing touchdowns this season, with a massive 33, very slightly under two allowed per game. With an average total points of nearly 56 across all three Burrow vs Mahomes games, there is little reason to expect a low-scoring defensive game.
Thus, bettors will be able to find a good deal in -180 odds for Burrow to throw two or more touchdowns based on all of the factors that are in his favor. Upping the odds by pairing it with other props could lead to big wins for bettors, who should certainly feel confident in playoff Burrow to continue his two TD streak vs the Chiefs.
Joe Burrow over 1.5 passing touchdowns (-180)
Jeremias began writing 4 years ago after beginning his career at Florida State University. He mainly focuses on using analytics and statistics to educate readers on trends and discoveries to get a leg up on sportsbooks. He mainly focuses on NFL, NHL, and NBA. During his free time, you can find him researching, writing, and betting on various sports.