- Patrick Mahomes has -130 odds to go over 282.5 passing yards.
- There are -182 odds for Patrick Mahomes to stay under 2.5 passing touchdowns.
- Mahomes’ passing completion total is set at 25.5.
KANSAS CITY, Mo. – Patrick Mahomes is one of, if not the best quarterback in the league today so it makes sense why there is an endless amount of player prop odds for him and all of which are set accordingly to his play style.
Patrick Mahomes AFC Championship Player Props
Total Passing Yards
- Over 282.5 -130
- Under 282.5 +100
At a 282.5 passing yard total, it is the fourth lowest total that Mahomes has had set by online sportsbooks in the last 10 games. In those 10 games, he is also averaging 284 passing yards and has gone over his set total in six of those games.
The Cincinnati Bengals are also a bottom-10 secondary in the league in passing yards allowed per game.
Mahomes is also one to consistently extend plays and make deep passes with his 7.9 yards per pass attempt and 11.4 yards per completion. The Bengals secondary is also letting up just over 6 yards per pass attempt, however, they are letting up the fourth most yards per completion at 11.1 for a whopping 5+ yards after the catch on average.
Total Passing Touchdowns
- Over 2.5 +139
- Under 2.5 -182
While the Bengals secondary tells one story of struggling to stop yardage, their defense against touchdowns is one of the best in the league, and 2.5 could be seen as just too high of a number. Mahomes does lead the league in TDs (41), but he has stayed under the 2.5 mark 10 times this season and is averaging under 2.5 TDs per game in his last 10 outings. He has stayed under more often than not this season as well in four of his last five games.
The Bengals defense this season is letting up the second least amount of TDs per game at 1.9 and has gone down even more with 1.3 in their last three games. In their last three games, they have also let up just one red zone TD per game, holding their opponents to a 49.12% TD success rate this season and a league-low 30% in their last three games.
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Total Passing Completions
- Over 25.5 -114
- Under 25.5 -114
If there is one thing that Patrick Mahomes can do at such as high rate, it is complete his passes which strengthens his case towards the NFL odds on the over.
He has the fifth-highest completion rate in the league at 67.15% and the second-highest in the Chiefs last three games at 70.48%. Mahomes is completing 25.7 passes per game this season and 27.3 per game when playing at home. His last time out against a 25.5 completion total also, he went over with 29.
He'll also get plenty of opportunities to complete his passes as well with the Chiefs averaging the fifth most attempts per game (38.2) and third most when playing at home (41.1).
- Over 0.5 -113
- Under 0.5 -115
The odds on the under could are favored and for good reason being that Mahomes has cleaned up his game in the last five outings with just one interception in those games. The Bengals have also recorded just 13 interceptions this season where only six of them came in their last 10 games. In their previous meeting with the Chiefs this season, Mahomes did not throw an interception.
Patrick Mahomes over 2.5 passing touchdowns
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