MLB Best Bets Of The Day – 07/08/2021

  • The Kansas City Royals and Cleveland Indians total is set at 9.0 with the Under being a slight -105 underdog.
  • The Oakland Athletics Under 4.0 team total has -135 odds against the Houston Astros.
  • The Milwaukee Brewers are -115 betting favorites against the Cincinnati Reds.

CLEVELAND – There are fewer MLB games on Thursday than usual, but that doesn’t mean the hunt for valuable betting lines ends. There are still opportunities to cash some bets throughout the slate of baseball.

Kansas City Royals vs Cleveland Indians: Over/Under

The Kansas City Royals will be playing the Cleveland Indians on Thursday in a game where the total may be set a little too high by online sportsbooks. Danny Duffy will be starting for the Royals and will bring his 2.60 ERA and 1.23 WHIP into the game while Zach Plesac brings a modest 4.14 ERA but an impressive 1.04 WHIP to the mound.

Royals vs Indians Total Betting Odds

  • Over 9.0 -115
  • Under 9.0 -105

Not only is the pitching good, but both offenses are among the league’s worst. Over the last two weeks, the Royals and Indians are both in the bottom four for wOBA and wRC+. Cleveland also places bottom three in both batting average and on-base percentage.

People betting on baseball should also be aware that Cleveland’s bullpen has been fantastic recently recording a 3.29 ERA and 3.86 xFIP. All signs point towards this being a low-scoring game.

Oakland Athletics vs Houston Astros: Team Total

The Houston Astros will be sending Lance McCullers to the mound to face the Oakland Athletics who happen to be the worst offensive team in the sport over the last two weeks. Because of this, looking into the A’s team total could prove to be beneficial.

Athletics Team Total Odds

  • Over 4.0 +105
  • Under 4.0 -135

Oakland ranks dead last in BA (.207), OBP (.278), SLG (.324), wOBA (.266) and wRC+ (70) over the last two weeks, and in most categories by a large margin. Putting that against McCullers who has a sub-3.00 ERA spells trouble for Oakland. Plus, Houston’s bullpen has been reliable with their 3.55 ERA over the past month.

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This season there are only three teams are average fewer than four runs per game, but the A’s have scored four or fewer runs in 11 of their last 17 games.

Milwaukee Brewers vs Cincinnati Reds: Moneyline

Every so often, when looking at sports betting sites, there’s a line that simply makes you wonder, “what do they know that I don’t?” and that is the case for the Brewers and Reds game on Thursday night. The game is set at a near pick ‘em, but there’s little to indicate the Reds shouldn’t be sizable underdogs.

Brewers vs Reds Moneyline Odds

  • Milwaukee Brewers -115
  • Cincinnati Reds -105

Milwaukee ranks fourth over the last two weeks in wOBA (.361), fifth in wRC+ (128), third in OBP (.361), sixth in SLG .477) and ninth in BA (.262). Meanwhile, the Reds do not rank inside the top 10 in any of the aforementioned categories.

The starting pitching can’t be the answer either as the ERAs of the pitchers are separated by just 0.31 while accumulating nearly the same innings pitched, walks and home runs allowed. Further, Cincinnati has one of the worst bullpens in the league over the last two weeks that has recorded a 5.19 ERA and 4.77 FIP which both rank bottom three.