MLB Odds: Miami Marlins vs. Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview

  • The Milwaukee Brewers are labeled as -180 odds-on favorites to defeat the Miami Marlins in their series opener.
  • The Miami Marlins come back with +155 odds as an underdog.
  • Two elite pitching talents could make for a low-scoring game.

MILWAUKEE – The Milwaukee Brewers (13-8) will host the Miami Marlins (9-12) on Monday night in the first game of a three-game series. Corbin Burnes will be on the mound for the Brewers and will look to extend his impressive 40-0 K/BB ratio this season.

The Brewers have won five of their last six games while the Marlins have won just two of their last seven. Milwaukee has -180 odds to win.

Projected Pitching Matchup

  • MILCorbin Burnes (2-1, 0.37 ERA, 0.33 WHIP)
  • MIATrevor Rogers (2-1, 1.64 ERA, 1.00 WHIP)

Probably the biggest storyline entering the game Monday night is Corbin Burnes and his historic start to the season. He currently has 40 strikeouts and no walks allowed this year, which according to Elias Sports Bureau, is an MLB record for starting pitchers since the mound has been at 60 feet, 6 inches.

Burnes also currently holds the second-best ERA among all MLB starters and has the fourth-most strikeouts in the National League. Burnes is 11 strikeouts short of tying Kenley Jansen’s 2017 record of 51 strikeouts without a walk to start a season.

With all the talk about Burnes, it’s easy to overlook Trevor Rodgers in this matchup despite putting up great numbers as well. Rogers has been a slight wildcard for the Marlins, having recorded both a six-inning and seven-inning shutout as well as a pair of unimpressive outings.

Milwaukee Brewers vs. Miami Marlins Betting Odds

  • Moneyline: MIL: -180, MIA +155
  • Spread: MIL -1.5 (+125)
  • Total: O/U 6.5

Batting Stats

Anyone betting on the Brewers odds will be praying for the pitching to hold up, because Milwaukee’s batting numbers are amongst the league’s worst. On the other side, the Marlins +155 odds could cash if the batting advantage proves to be the difference maker.

  • MIL#27 in BA (.209), #23 in OBP (.301), #24 in SLG (.363)
  • MIA#15 in BA (.230), #21 in OBP (.303), #27 in SLG (.358)

Online sportsbooks have taken note of the poor batting stats and the talent on the mound and have set the total of the game at 6.5 runs, the lowest of any game on the MLB slate on Monday.

Other Notable Stats

Before betting on the MLB, bettors should always look for any information available to them. The following is a couple of notable statistics for the two teams.

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The Marlins bullpen has the lowest BB/9 in the MLB. Milwaukee will need to earn their way onto the base paths, which considering their low batting average could be an issue.

One of the Brewers’ bullpen’s biggest issues is home runs allowed, but the Marlins have only hit 16 home runs this season, second-lowest in the MLB.

Milwaukee’s K% at the plate is 28.6%, third-worst in the MLB, but their pitchers have a 27.4% strikeout rate which is sixth-best in the MLB.

Generally, many of these stats point towards a low scoring game.

Recent Trends

Marlins are 1-4 in their last five road games as well as 0-5 in their last five games against the Brewers. The Under has hit in three of the Marlins last five games as well as in each of the Brewers last four games against a left-handed pitcher.

How to Watch

Anybody who is betting on this game and wants to see their bets play out can watch the game on Bally Sports Wisconsin, MLB.TV or MLB Extra Innings. The game starts at 7:40 p.m. EST.