NBA Point Totals Increase At Sportsbook As Season Progresses


  • NBA sportsbooks have been setting team point totals higher in recent games.
  • The Detroit Pistons and Charlotte Hornets have -110 odds to finish the game with Over 229.5 points.
  • The Pistons have seen their point totals set higher as of late.

NEW YORK – As the NBA season progresses, more scoring is expected and sportsbooks have begun reflecting this trend.

During the first few weeks of the season, several games were set below 210 total points. With tonight’s slate of games, the lowest point totals are 213.

No team reflects this overall change better than the Detroit Pistons whose matchup with the Charlotte Hornets is set at 228.5 at online sportsbooks. Detroit saw a bulk of its games set at under 205 early on in the season.

Detroit Pistons Vs. Charlotte Hornets Odds

  • Pistons Moneyline: +400
  • Hornets Moneyline: -565
  • Spread: Hornets -10
  • Totals: O/U 229.5

NBA Scoring Boom

The start of the 2021-2022 NBA season saw some of the lowest scoring averages since the 2016-2017 season.

Because of this, the Pistons average 101.1 PPG, the Orlando Magic average 101.8 PPG, and the Oklahoma City Thunder average just 99.8 PPG. In the previous four seasons, no team averaged less than 103.8 PPG.

Over the last few games, however, the Pistons in particular have seen their scoring average boom to 105.7. Sportsbooks set their total points for tonight’s matchup with the Hornets at 109.5.

Total Points O/U – Detroit Pistons 109.5

  • Over -115
  • Under -115

Over the last 10 games, Detroit is 6-4 with hitting the Over. The Pistons recently finished with 117 and hit the Over 222.5 set at NBA sportsbooks. Detroit is actually 3-2 in their last five games with hitting the Over, seemingly doing so every other game.

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Sportsbooks setting point totals higher reflects that these instances are not simply outliers, but instead teams are likely reverting to the mean.

Detroit averaged 106.6 PPG in the 2020-2021 season and 107.2 during the 2019-2020 season. The low-scoring games in the early months of the season likely did not reflect the actual scoring output of the team.

Additionally, the Pistons had the sixth toughest schedule in the league so far this season, with an average opponent rank of 14.47.

As the season progresses, Detroit will play more teams with poorer defensive ratings and manage to finish with more points.

Betting fans who were initially winning big this season taking the Under for most games may want to rethink their strategy for the remainder of the season.

The Pistons face the Hornets tonight on NBA League Pass with tip-off starting at 7 p.m. EST.