NFL Player Props: Kelce, Mahomes, Hill Headline NFL Week 7

  • The Kansas City Chiefs average the most passing yards per game in the NFL with 339.3.
  • Patrick Mahomes remains the favorite to win the NFL MVP award.
  • Kansas City is on a seven-game winning streak against the Denver Broncos.

DENVER, CO - The Kansas City Chiefs travel to Mile High Stadium to take on the Denver Broncos in the latest edition of Thursday Night Football.

Kansas City is currently in the midst of a two-game losing streak after dropping games to the Indianapolis Colts and Houston Texans. Despite the two-game skid, US sportsbooks still have the Chiefs as 3-point favorites to beat the Broncos in the AFC West matchup. Let’s look at some of the prop bets for this matchup for the Kansas City Chiefs.

Total Completions In Week 7 For Patrick Mahomes

  • Over: 23.5 (-135)
  • Under: 23.5 (-105)

Winner: Over; Mahomes hasn’t reached 23 completions in his last two games but this should be the game he snaps that streak. With the Chiefs running game averaging a measly 82.7 rushing yards, Kansas City will lean on Mahomes and the passing offense to put points on the board. Mahomes should comfortably hit the Over here, as he’s gone over 24 completions in his past two games against the Denver Broncos.

Total Touchdown Passes In Week 7 For Patrick Mahomes

  • Over: 2 (-135)
  • Under: 2 (-105)

Winner: Under; In three career games against the Broncos, Mahomes has only thrown for multiple touchdowns once. The Broncos are a Top-5 passing defense in the NFL going into Week 7 and Mahomes may struggle to get the ball into the endzone through the air.

LeSean McCoy's Total Receptions In Week 7

  • Over: 2.5 (+150)
  • Under: 2.5 (-200)

Winner: Under; LeSean McCoy hasn’t had more than two receptions in any game this season. That trend should continue in this game because the Chiefs use a running back committee and the Broncos are one the best defenses in the NFL at defending against the pass. In this game expect to see McCoy running the ball a lot more than he catches it.

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Travis Kelce's Total Receiving Yards In Week 7

  • Over: 76.5 (-125)
  • Under: 76.5 (-115)

Winner: Over; In his last two meetings against the Broncos with Patrick Mahomes at quarterback, Travis Kelce has eclipsed the 76-yard mark. With outings of 78 and 79 yards in those games, Kelce should be able to reach the Over and get his sixth game of 70 or more yards receiving this season. Kelce is currently the Chiefs' leading receiver and with wide receiver Tyreek Hill back, he should see some of his targets increase as more defenses focus on stopping Hill.

Total Receptions In Week 7 For Tyreek Hill

  • Over: 5.5 (+120)
  • Under: 5.5 (-160)

Winner: Under; In five career games against the Denver Broncos, Tyreek Hill has only finished with more than five receptions in two of those games. In Hill’s first game back from injury since Week 1, he had five catches for 80 yards and two touchdowns against the Houston Texans. Now, the Denver Broncos defense is by far better than the Texans defense and they’ve given up the fourth-fewest passing yards in the NFL this season. Not getting beat by Tyreek Hill will be one of the focal points for the Broncos in this game and that should keep Tyreek Hill from reaching the Over for total receptions in this game.

Total Receptions In Week 7 For Travis Kelce

  • Over: 6.5 (+120)
  • Under: 6.5 (-160)

Winner: Over; Kelce has been the leading receiver for the Kansas City Chiefs this season. That shouldn’t change in this game even if Tyreek Hill is back in the starting lineup. As the Broncos worry about Tyreek Hill deep, the middle of the field will be available for Travis Kelce to wreak havoc on the defense. He should reach the Over in this game, but it will be close because Kelce has only had over six receptions in three games this season.