- NFL betting trends are perfect for figuring out close matchups that could go either way.
- With a handful of divisional games played this week, these trends run deeper than non-divisional games.
- A majority of the betting trends look for bettors to take the under in Week 7 of the NFL.
TALLAHASSEE, Fla. – The NFL is now in Week 7 and the playoff teams are starting to come to the foreground. On Thursday, the Kansas City Chiefs took care of business in Colorado against the Denver Broncos, but an injury to Patrick Mahomes could set the Chiefs back a few games.
Still, there are a dozen games played on Sunday, with an additional game to be played on Monday Night Football containing the New England Patriots and New York Jets. With the help of USAOnlineSportsbooks' expert NFL betting trends, bettors came out positive last week and are looking to do the same for Week 7.
Arizona Cardinals Vs. New York Giants – 1:00 p.m. EST
The Giants (-3) are slightly favored in this cross-country battle of young quarterbacks. Still, bettors should look to take the Cardinals with the points, as they have covered the spread in five of their last seven games as well as four of the last five when on the road. For the Giants, they have covered the spread twice in their last seven and only once in their last five at home. Consider parlaying this with the over (50.5), as four of the last six games for the Cardinals have gone over, while five of the Giants’ past seven games against NFC opponents have also gone over.
Houston Texans Vs. Indianapolis Colts – 1:00 p.m. EST
In this AFC South battle, the division will take form and possibly be on the line during this game. The home team Colts (-115) are the favorite over the Texans (-105) but only by one point. In the last six games, these two have played against each other, the winner has covered the spread every time, with the under hitting in five of those instances. This is always a tough fought battle but the NFL betting trend sticking out the most is that the Texans are 5-11 against the spread in their last 16 divisional games. As Indianapolis has won seven of their last eight at home, the Colts seem like the safe play.
Miami Dolphins Vs. Buffalo Bills – 1:00 p.m. EST
This AFC East showdown will not be of much value for the Dolphins, but a win could help keep the Bills on track for their playoff berth. The Bills (-17) are heavy favorites over the struggling Dolphins, as the over/under is set at 40.5 points. In the last six games played for these two teams, the winner has covered the spread every time and the over has hit in four of those games. Miami has covered the spread only once in their last eight games while Buffalo has gone on to cover in all but one of their last seven. All signs point to taking the Bills with the under, as the last five Bills games have gone lower than projected just like four of Miami’s last five.
Minnesota Vikings Vs. Detroit Lions – 1:00 p.m. EST
Both the Lions and Vikings love low scoring affairs, as nine of the last dozen games for each team has seen the under (43.5) hit. Furthermore, bettors have won six of the last seven games taking the under when Detroit is at home, just like Vikings’ bettors have been successful on the under in the last six road games. The Lions (+115) are underdogs by only 2 points against the Vikings (-135) but have covered the spread in five of their last six. Just like the two aforementioned division rivalries, the winner of this matchup in the last six meetings has also covered the spread.
Oakland Raiders Vs. Green Bay Packers – 1:00 p.m. EST
The Packers (-240) come in as the favorite as they are 6-1 against the spread when facing a team from the AFC. Also covering in four of their last six, the Packers (-5.5) will look to continue this trend against the Raiders (+200). These two teams haven’t played since 2015 but the Pack has won all four times, covering the spread three times. As Oakland has only won two of their last 13 games on the road, look for Green Bay to take care of business.
Jacksonville Jaguars Vs. Cincinnati Bengals – 1:00 p.m. EST
Another game that bettors should focus on the under is present as the Jags have gone under (43.5) in six of their last nine games while Cincinnati follows suit with five of their last seven doing the same. The Jags (-4) are favored but have only won two of their last 10 road games. However, in the last nine games against the AFC North, Jacksonville covered the spread in eight of those instances with the outlier resulting in a push. With this, and the fact that Cincinnati (+165) hasn’t won any of their last eight games, bettors should ride with the Jags (-190).
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LA Rams Vs. Atlanta Falcons – 1:00 p.m. EST
Usually, a playoff-contending battle, the Falcons (+125) have struggled this year, winning only one of their last six games and covering the spread in only one of their last seven. On the flip side, the Rams (-145) have won 13 of their last 20, covered the spread in eight of their last 11, and have also covered in all five of their last road games. The Rams are favored by just a field goal, but bettors should also consider taking the under (54.5), as the under has hit in five of the last six Falcons games played in Atlanta.
San Francisco 49ers Vs. Washington Redskins – 1:00 p.m. EST
The undefeated 49ers (-425) are the heavy favorites against the Redskins (+355) who have their sole win over the Dolphins. Covering the spread in four of their last five, the Niners (-10) are the smart play here, as Washington hasn’t covered the spread once in their last five nor in their last five played at home. One trend to worry bettors is that San Francisco is only 3-8 in their last 11 on the road, so bettors may be more inclined to play the point total (40.5). The total has gone under in all but one of the 49ers last five games and when playing NFC West opponents, Washington games have resulted in the under in nine of the last 13.
LA Chargers Vs. Tennessee Titans – 4:05 p.m. EST
This game should focus totally on the point total (40) and nowhere near the point spread (Titans -2.5). The inconsistency of these teams is well noted, as both teams have lost four of their last five, only covering the spread one time for each of them. Instead, look at the under for this matchup. Both of these teams have had the under hit in all five of each team’s previous five games.
Baltimore Ravens Vs. Seattle Seahawks – 4:25 p.m. EST
Oddsmakers still have adjusted for the hype surround Baltimore, as the team has yet to cover the spread in their last five games (going 0-4-1). Still, the Ravens (+150) have won ten of their last 14 but travel to Seattle where the Seahawks (-120) are 7-1 in their last eight at home. Seattle has also won five of their last six no matter the location, and with the MVP talent of Russell Wilson on display, this seems like the wiser choice. Bettors could also look at taking the over (48.5), as it has hit in four of the last six Ravens’ games as well as eight of Seattle’s last 10.
New Orleans Saints Vs. Chicago Bears – 4:25 p.m. EST
This game which favors the Bears (-180) over the Saints (+160) by a half-point more than a field goal could be a great option for live bettors. Both of these teams have similar results, giving the changing odds the best outlook for making a profit. New Orleans has won five of their last six, having covered four of them. In a similar manner, Chicago has won a dozen of their last 16, having covered in 11 of them. Despite having the lowest over/under of the week (38.5), bettors should still consider taking the under. Bettors on the Saints have won when taking the under in two-thirds of their last 15 games and five of the last six on the road. For the Bears, the under has hit in eight of the last 10 as well as all five of their last home games.
Philadelphia Eagles Vs. Dallas Cowboys – 8:20 p.m. EST
For the final game of the day as well as the last second-to-last divisional game for the NFL Week 7 schedule, the Cowboys are slight favorites (-2.5). Just like the other divisional games, the last six games have seen the winner cover the spread in the process. Still, this battle against the Eagles (+120) and the Cowboys (-140) is sure to be a close one, as Philly has covered the spread in five of their last seven road games but are only 2-4 in their last six against the spread. For the Cowboys, they have won 11 of the last 16 as well as seven of the last eight played in Dallas. With the over (48.5) hitting in four of the Eagles last six and seven of the Cowboys last nine, bettors should expect a high-scoring Sunday Night Football battle.
Michael spends most of his time betting on over/unders and analyzing algorithms in attempts to beat the book. His focus on statistics comes from an early understanding of mathematics as well as knowledge of opportunity costs. Michael enjoys playing basketball and reading about the NBA whenever he has the free time. When he is not writing, he can be found in Mississippi hitting the sportsbooks and enjoying a margarita… on the rocks, no salt.