Patriots Open As Strong Favorites Over Titans In Week 12

  • The New England Patriots have opened up as six-point favorites agasint the Tennessee Titans.
  • The total is set at 44.5 with -110 odds on either side.

FOXBOROUGH, Mass. – The New England Patriots will play the Tennessee Titans on Sunday in Week 12. Sportsbooks have made New England a favorite by a number maybe larger than expected.

Is This Recency Bias By The Sportsbooks?

The Tennessee Titans are coming off of a loss to the Houston Texans while the New England Patriots are fresh off of a primetime 25-0 shutout win over the Atlanta Falcons. Online sportsbooks are labeling the Patriots as sizable favorites in the matchup despite the Titans still being the No. 1 seed in the AFC.

Titans vs Patriots Spread Odds

  • Tennessee Titans +6.0 -120
  • New England Patriots -6.0 EVEN

While the line could possibly be slightly inflated in response to last week, New England would likely be favored by a field goal or more regardless. The Patriots have won five straight games by an average margin of 25.0 points per game.

The Titans, on the other hand, have an average scoring margin of +2.0 points per game over their last four contests. Plus, Ryan Tannehill is likely to struggle as he’s thrown 12 interceptions this season and will now be playing against the defense that has the most interceptions in the NFL (18).

Betting The Total: 44.5 Points

Those betting on the NFL will naturally be drawn to the UNDER due to the nature of the Patriots’ defense. New England is allowing an NFL-best 16.1 points per game and just 4.33 points per game over the last three weeks. Even further, they've allowed just one touchdown in total in their last three games.

However, both offenses are among the league’s best. The Patriots are scoring 27.3 points per game which is the sixth-most in the NFL and the Titans are scoring 26.5 points per game which is the 10th-best in the league.

Titans vs Patriots Total Odds

  • OVER 44.5 -110
  • UNDER 44.5 -110

For as good as the Pats defense has been, five of their last seven games has gone OVER the set number while the same can be said for seven of the 11 Titans games this season. The numbers are more important than the narrative, and the numbers say bet the OVER.

The game will begin at 1 p.m. EST on Sunday and can be seen on CBS.