Super Bowl 57: Patrick Mahomes Passing Props Betting Guide

  • Patrick Mahomes has -130 odds to go over 295.5 passing yards in the Super Bowl.
  • Mahomes has done this in 12 of his 20 games played this season + playoffs.
  • Mahomes has -103 odds to go over 39.5 pass attempts – the Chiefs are 7-1 when he does.

LAS VEGAS - Patrick Mahomes will be looking to win a second Super Bowl ring by the age of 27, and his performance will likely be the most important factor in whether he accomplishes this goal or not.

Online sportsbooks have odds on Mahomes’ props, and we advise line shopping them. The odds in this article are from the online sportsbook Bovada.

Patrick Mahomes Passing Yards O/U Odds

  • Over 295.5 -130
  • Under 295.5 +100

This O/U is higher than Mahomes’ O/U from the AFC Championship against the Cincinnati Bengals (279.5) but lower than his O/U from the Divisional Round against the Jacksonville Jaguars (312.5).

Mahomes has played 20 games between the regular season and the Playoffs. He’s gone over this number 12 times, and under it eight times.

One major note is that the Philadelphia Eagles are the number one team in the NFL in terms of fewest pass yards allowed.

They allow, on average, 171 pass yards per game, a truly remarkably low number, and even Mahomes’ genius will be put to the test by their dangerous pass rush and elite CBs.

Patrick Mahomes Pass Attempts O/U Odds

  • Over 39.5 -103
  • Under 39.5 -127

Indeed, Mahomes’ pass attempts odds for the game reflect the idea that he will have to throw the ball often.

In Mahomes’ 20 games, he’s only had to throw 40 or more times eight times – the Chiefs won all but one of those games.

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Patrick Mahomes Pass Completions O/U Odds

  • Over 26.5 -114
  • Under 26.5 -114

The fact that he’s expected to throw that much and complete this small of a number of passes is telling.

Of the eight games that Mahomes threw 40 or more passes in, he completed more than 26.5 passes in seven of them.

The only one in which this was not true was also the only time the Chiefs lost with Mahomes throwing more than 40 passes – a 20-24 loss to the Buffalo Bills.

NFL betting fans should keep that in mind – and consider the implications that an over can have on the overall outcome of the game.