- Marvin Vettori has -185 odds against Paulo Costa in the main event.
- Alex Caceres is a +235 betting underdog to SeungWoo Choi.
- Jai Herbert has EVEN odds to beat Khama Worthy by knockout.
LAS VEGAS – The UFC Apex in Las Vegas will play host to another UFC Fight Night, this time headlined by Marvin Vettori and Paulo Costa.
Paulo Costa Vs. Marvin Vettori: The Main Event
This could very well be the last time that sports betting sites have odds for Paulo Costa in the UFC after the debacle of events leading up to this fight against Marvin Vettori.
Despite fighting in a 185-pound division, Costa announced he was 211 pounds just a few days before the weigh-in. The fight was changed to a catchweight bout at 195 pounds and changed again to a light heavyweight bout at 205 pounds. He was 25 pounds over his middleweight limit, which would’ve been a UFC record had the fight not been changed to a different weight class.
Dana White has cut athletes for such unprofessionalism before and could potentially cut Costa if he were to lose, which UFC betting sites expect to happen.
Costa Vs. Vettori Moneyline Odds
- Marvin Vettori -185
- Paulo Costa +150
Being so far off from the weight limit usually means the fighter has not been training enough or has not been taking the fight seriously. This gives Vettori more value than what the current odds suggest.
Alex Caceres Vs. SeungWoo Choi
Alex Caceres and SuengWoo Choi both enter the fight on Saturday on a win streak, four for Caceres and three for Choi. Caceres’ record (18-12) doesn’t look too good next to Choi’s (10-3), but Choi has lost two fights more recently, where Caceres has lost one.
Caceres Vs. Choi Moneyline Odds
- Alex Caceres +235
- SeungWoo Choi -300
Caceres may not win the fight, but at the same time, he should not be a +235 underdog. He lands more significant strikes per minute (4.10 to 3.31) while absorbing practically the same amount per minute (2.82 to 2.55).
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Caceres also lands at a higher rate, avoids strikes at a better clip, and most importantly, has an edge in landing takedowns. Choi’s 66% takedown defense should prove fatal against Caceres’ 78% takedown accuracy. Since Choi is primarily a striker and Caceres thrives on the mat, his takedowns could be the difference in the fight.
Jai Herbert Vs. Khama Worthy
This fight, although taking place in the lightweight division, has little to no chance of going the distance. Jai Herbert has finished eight of his 10 wins by knockout and has lost two of his three fights by knockout as well.
Khama Worthy has seen 12 of his 16 wins coming inside the distance while all eight of his losses have been by way of finish (seven KO, one SUB).
Method of Victory Odds
- Herbert By KO EVEN
- Herbert By Decision +375
- Herbert By Submission +1000
- Worthy by KO +365
- Worthy By Decision +525
- Worthy By Submission +800
Herbert’s last four wins have all come by knockout while each of Worthy’s last two fights saw him get knocked out. This has the makings of a quick fight with either side having the potential to finish it at any moment.
The preliminaries start at 1:00 p.m. EST on Saturday with the main card beginning at 4:00 p.m. EST. It can be streamed on ESPN+.
Nick got involved with the world of sports at a young age and never turned his back on it. He graduated from Penn State University with a degree in Broadcast/Journalism. In his free time, you can catch him at the bottom of the leaderboards on any video game he’s playing.
