Utah State 27 Point Favorites Over Connecticut Week 0 NCAAF

  • The Utah State Aggies are 27-point favorites to beat the Connecticut Huskies Week 0 in Dublin Ireland at Avia Stadium.
  • Sportsbooks set the game’s point totals to 60.5 with -110 on both sides of the betting line.

DUBLIN, Ireland – Week 0 in college football is kicking off in Dublin, Ireland at  Aviva Stadium with a matchup between the highly favored Utah State Aggies – 27 (-110) and the Connecticut Huskies.

Utah coming in as a 4 touchdown favorite is looking to cover the total which opened at 60.5. College football betting fans are split on Over/Under for this matchup.

Connecticut Huskies Vs. Utah State Aggies

  • Moneyline: Utah -2200, Connecticut +1100
  • Spread: Utah -27 (-110)
  • Total: O/U 60.5 (-110)

It is no surprise that online sportsbooks are leaning heavily in favor of Utah State as the Aggies finished with an 11-3 record last season while UConn finished with a 1-13 record.

With the long odds on the moneyline there is no real value in taking the Aggies straight up in this matchup. Underdog bettors leaning in on UConn pulling the upset is also essentially a lottery ticket. The real value comes with betting on the spread and point totals.

Taking any team to cover 27 points is a big risk, but the Huskies were simply not competitive last season having an average win margin of -22.92 and allowing 59 total opponent TDs while only having 22. UConn also has a 6-6-0 record against the spread.

Even UConn head coach Jim Mora, Jr. is accepting this matchup is simply a warmup for Utah State.

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“I’ve never been a 27-point underdog in my life, and I’m not real happy about it. And then I realized, you know what, we’re their warm up game,” said Mora. “So they’re looking at us as just kind of fodder.”

Utah State has a 10-4 record against the spread (71.4% cover rate) and had an averaging win margin of 17.8 last season.

The defeatist attitude of the new head coach and the poor performance of Connecticut last season should make taking the Aggies to cover an easier wager.

There is also profit to be made taking the total points for this matchup. Connecticut has a 7-5 record of hitting the Over while Utah State has a 6-8 record. The Over is likely here due to the Huskies allowing high scores more often than not.