Why The Thunder Will Dominate Game 5 At Home Monday

  • The Oklahoma City Thunder are favored by nine points in Game 5 of the NBA Finals.
  • Oklahoma City has lost just two games at home this postseason and only one prior to the Finals.

OKLAHOMA CITY – Knotted up at two games apiece, the NBA Finals heads back to Oklahoma City as the Thunder look to take a one game lead over the Indiana Pacers.

Pacers vs Thunder Game 5 Odds

Team Spread Moneyline Total
Pacers +9.0 (-110) +295 O 224.5 (-115)
Thunder -9.0 (-110) -390 U 224.5 (-105)

Each team has won one game at home and one game on the road this series, setting up for a pivotal Game 5. Online sportsbooks give the Thunder a very good chance of winning tonight’s game as -390 favorites.

Bettors should lean towards the Thunder to cover the nine point spread as the best bet for this game at -110 odds.

The Thunder’s series against the Denver Nuggets went the exact same way through the first four games with them losing the first and third games of the series while winning the second and fourth. In that series, they would win Game 5 by seven points at home.

The main difference in this series is that they do not have to face the three-time MVP in Nikola Jokic. Although Indiana has been elite offensively all season, they do not have any single player who can replicate the impact that Jokic brings to the table.

The Thunder just put together one of the best regular seasons of all time, particularly at home, going 35-6 in Oklahoma City. So far this postseason, they have gone 9-2 at home. The only game that they lost at home before this series was Game 1 against the Nuggets, who they would go on to defeat in the next three meetings in OKC.

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Indiana has had issues scoring the basketball due to the fact that in spite of their scoring depth, they do not have a true #1 option.

Tyrese Haliburton and Pascal Siakam struggle to score over 20 points per game while the rest of their role players chip in about 10-15 per game, and this simply will not cut it against an elite defense like OKC.

While the Pacers are far from out of this series, losing Game 4 at home was a devastating blow to their chances and exposed some of their greatest weaknesses.

NBA sportsbooks are expecting a dominant performance from the Thunder tonight and bettors have no reason to believe any different.