Cooper Kupp Odds To Break Jerry Rice’s Record Aren’t That Long

  • Cooper Kupp has +325 odds to break the single-season receiving touchdown record.
  • Cooper Kupp has ten touchdowns this season.

LOS ANGELESLos Angeles Rams wide receiver, Cooper Kupp, has been having one of the most historic seasons from an NFL receiver. Through his first eight games of the year, he has posted a league-leading 10 touchdowns.

With that in mind, online sportsbooks have odds listed on if he will break Jerry Rice’s single-season receiving touchdown record at 23 touchdowns.

Will Cooper Kupp Break Single-Season Receiving TD Record This Season

  • Yes (24 Or More) +325
  • No (23 Or Less) -550

Why He Will Break The Record

The main factor backing up his NFL odds to break the record is that not only does he lead the Rams in red zone targets this season, but the entire league. Also, all 10 of his touchdowns have come from within the 20-yard line.

Kupp is also the Rams' most consistent receiver in the red zone as he is targeted 32.8% of the time and is catching his receptions at a 70% rate.

Kupp is far ahead of the Rams receiving core in overall targets with 90 while Robert Woods follows at 59. Kupp has scored at least one touchdown in all but two games this season, proving he is Matthew Stafford’s favorite target from anywhere on the field.

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Why He Won’t Break The Record

Just as there are reasons for Kupp to break the record, there are just as many for him not to break it. The Rams remaining nine games come against teams who have been above average in defending receiving touchdowns. The Green Bay Packers, Seattle Seahawks, Jacksonville Jaguars, Baltimore Ravens, and San Francisco 49ers, who they play twice, all have allowed less than 10 receiving touchdowns this season.

The 49ers, Jaguars and Ravens have all allowed less than one a game.

Even though all of Kupp’s touchdowns have come in the red zone, whenever the Rams do get to the 20-yard line, they tend to run the ball more often than not. When inside the 20, Darrell Henderson runs the ball 50% of the time. When inside the 10, he sees 75% of the touches, and when within five yards, he takes on 77.8%.

With the Rams switching to a run-first offense in the red zone, taking the odds that he won’t break the record could be the play instead.