CFB Week 9 Lines: Badgers Favored At Home Vs. #9 Iowa

  • The Wisconsin Badgers have -165 odds to beat the #9 Iowa Hawkeyes.
  • Iowa is receiving 76% of the bets on the spread.

MADISON, Wisc.Week 9 of college football is expected to be a big one in the Big 10 with a matchup between the Wisconsin Badgers and #9 Iowa Hawkeyes. To the surprise of many, Wisconsin is going in as a slight favorite.

Wisconsin Vs. #9 Iowa

  • Wisconsin Moneyline: -165
  • Iowa Moneyline: +140
  • Spread: Wisc -3
  • Over-Under: 37 Points

Unless online sportsbooks know something that the public does not, this is a confusing decision to list unranked Wisconsin as a favorite over #9 Iowa. With that, Iowa has been heavily favored by the public reeling in 76% of total bets.

The Spread Says It All

Backing up Iowa’s case, even more, is that they have done a solid 5-2 job against the spread and are covering by an average of 4.6 points over the line. As for Wisconsin, they are sitting at a below-average 3-4 spread record and are missing the cover by just over a touchdown (7.2 points) on average.

Looking back at the 2020 season, it was a similar scenario as Wisconsin was unranked with a 2-3 record going up against #16 Iowa as 2-point favorites on the college football odds.

Iowa went on to defeat them 28-7.

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Iowa has gone 2-1 against a 3-point spread in their last three meetings and has also gone 6-1 ATS in their last seven meetings played in Wisconsin. Iowa is also 1-0 ATS in their lone game this season as an away underdog.

Problems Against The Elite

Wisconsin has gone up against four top-25 opponents which they have gone 1-3. Their only win over a ranked team came last week over #25 Purdue. This matchup against the Hawkeyes will be their highest-ranked opponent of the season.

As for Iowa, they have gone undefeated against ranked opponents including teams such as #17 Indiana, #9 Iowa State, and #4 Penn State.