Handicapping Tom Brady Player Prop Bets vs Dallas Cowboys

  • Tom Brady is -121 to go over 41.5 Pass Attempts.
  • Brady is getting great value (-107) to throw for over 28.5 Pass Completions
  • Tom Brady to have 1+ Passing TD in each half is +120 on Bovada Sportsbook

TAMPA BAYTom Brady and the Bucs host the Dallas Cowboys on Monday Night in a game that NFL Sportsbooks expect to be an aerial assault.

Tom Brady’s pass attempts total is set at 41.5 at NFL sportsbooks and is -121 to go over that number.

Tom Brady Pass Attempts

Brady has gone over this total in 66% of games this season. He has thrown at least 42 pass attempts in 12 of his last 15 games dating back to Week 3. This includes going over that total in 6 of his last 7 games.

The lone game that Brady had less pass attempts across this span was the regular season finale against the Atlanta Falcons where he left the game before halftime.

Tom Brady Completions

Tom Brady is -107 to go over 28.5 Pass Completions

We know that the Bucs love to throw the ball. Their passing game is effective because their QB is so efficient.

Brady has a 66.8 completion percentage in 2022, the fourth highest total of his legendary career. He has gone over 28.5 passing completions 11 times this season, including 6 times in his last 7 games. Once again, the low total in Week 18 is an outlier due to Brady leaving prior to halftime.

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Tom Brady Scoring Props

Bovada Special Bets has Tom Brady throwing 1+ Passing TD in each half set at +120. This is great value considering how well Tom Brady has played at home this season.

In 9 home games this season, Brady has thrown for 17 touchdowns and 4 interceptions. Comparing this to his road performance of 8 touchdowns and 5 interceptions across 8 games, Brady is significantly more likely to throw touchdowns at home.

Brady is also -148 at online sportsbooks to throw over 1.5 Passing Touchdowns.

In his last 4 home games, Brady has thrown for 10 touchdowns. He averages 1.9 touchdowns at home this season, giving his over 1.5 Passing Touchdowns good value at -148.

Tom Brady Over 41.5 Pass Attempts (-121)