- The New England Patriots are one-point road favorites over the Pittsburgh Steelers.
- The Patriots may be without starting QB Mac Jones, who has a back injury and is questionable for the game.
- The Steelers will be missing defensive stalwart T.J. Watt.
PITTSBURGH – The New England Patriots and the Pittsburgh Steelers face off on Sunday at 1:00 p.m. ET, with the Patriots as one-point road favorites.
New England Patriots vs. Pittsburgh Steelers Odds
- New England Patriots -1.0 (-110)
- Pittsburgh Steelers +1.0 (-110)
The Patriots are fresh off of a 20-7 loss to the Miami Dolphins in which they failed to cover the spread. The Steelers defeated the Cincinnati Bengals 23-20 and covered the spread.
Both teams suffered significant injuries in those games. The Steelers lost T.J. Watt, the NFL’s sack leader in 2021. Watt suffered a pectoral injury and is out indefinitely.
The Patriots saw QB Mac Jones go out with a back injury. Jones is listed as questionable to get the start in Pittsburgh. Jones’ backup on the Patriots is veteran QB Brian Hoyer.
New England is on a great streak against Pittsburgh, winning six of their last seven games against the Steelers.
They have also been successful ATS against Pittsburgh, covering the spread in four of their last five matchups against Mike Tomlin’s crew.
However, there are several reasons for concern. The Patriots are 1-4 against the spread in their last five road games, and have only covered the spread in one of their last six games.
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In addition, the Steelers are a strong home team ATS, having covered the spread in six of their last seven home games, with a push being the only non-cover in that sample.
New England Patriots vs. Pittsburgh Steelers Point Total Odds
- Over 40.5 (-110)
- Under 40.5 (-110)
With Jones on the shelf, and neither team known for offensive prowess, the online sportsbooks expect a low scoring game.
Only the matchup between the New York Jets and the Cleveland Browns has a lower point total than this matchup in this week’s slate of games.
This matchup trends toward the under. Four of the last five matchups these teams have played in Pittsburgh have failed to hit the over.
In addition, the Steelers are currently riding an eight-game streak of games not hitting the over against the AFC East.
The Patriots have managed to send four of their last five September games to the under as well.
Maxwell joined the USAOnlineSportsbooks team in 2019. He focuses on creating sports betting content that informs and educates. He focuses on the NBA, the NFL, College Football and Basketball, and whatever else comes across his desk.