Top 3 College Football ATS Underdogs – Week 10

  • The (#9) Wake Forest Demon Deacons currently sit as 2.5 point road underdogs against the unranked North Carolina Tar Heels in what should be a high-scoring ACC showdown.
  • The Texas Longhorns and their high-flying offense look to snap a three-game losing skid against the Iowa State Cyclones this week as 6.5 point underdogs.

CHAPEL HILL, N.C. - This week’s college football slate features several high-profile matchups featuring underdogs with valuable points spread odds, including an ACC matchup, an SEC matchup, and a Big 12 matchup.

(#9) Wake Forest Demon Deacons Vs. North Carolina Tar Heels Odds

  • Wake Forest Demon Deacons +2.5 (-105)
  • North Carolina Tar Heels -2.5 (-115)

One of the top games of this week’s NCAA slate will be an ACC showdown between Wake Forest and North Carolina. The Demon Deacons currently sit as a 2 point road underdogs at online sportsbooks.

The undefeated Wake Forest has risen to the top 10 of the newest playoff rankings; last week, Wake demolished Duke 45-7, easily covering the spread as 16 point favorites to move to 4-4 against the spread on the year. On the other hand, the Tar Heels lost a tough matchup with Notre Dame, failing to cover as 3.5 point underdogs to fall to 3-5 against the spread.

Wake has sprinted out to an 8-0 start behind one of the most explosive offenses in the nation, scoring 43.4 points per game on average. North Carolina has been nearly as explosive on the offensive end, however, scoring 36.5 points per game.

The main difference between the two teams to this point has been their strength of schedule. While North Carolina has had the much harder schedule, they have not done much with it, losing both of their toughest tests (Virginia Tech, Notre Dame). Wake does not have a very impressive schedule, though they did handedly defeat Florida State, who beat North Carolina.

Wake has covered the spread in 4 of their last 6 matchups with North Carolina. In a game that has the makings of a shootout, take the team that has proven they can beat the team in front of them, with the points an added bonus.

(#13) Auburn Tigers Vs. (#14) Texas A&M Aggies Odds

  • Auburn Tigers +4.5 (-105)
  • Texas A&M Aggies -4.5 (-115)

Another fantastic matchup for this week’s college football betting slate features the Auburn Tigers and the Texas A&M Aggies. The Tigers currently sit as 4.5 point road underdogs, a slight change from the 5.5 point opening spread. Both teams hold an identical 5-3 record against the spread.

Auburn impressed last week, defeating Ole’ Miss 31-20 as 3 point favorites. Texas A&M also took care of business last week, easily handling a poor South Carolina team and covering as 19.5 point favorites.

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Both teams sit at 6-2, with both losses coming from solid programs - in Auburn’s case, their two losses were to Georgia and Penn State, while in A&M’s case, their losses came from Mississippi State and Arkansas.

Auburn features one of the nation’s best offenses, scoring 34.1 points per game in 2021; Texas A&M is a bit behind Auburn in that regard, scoring 29.6 points per game.

While this game can go either way, spotting the better offense an extra 4.5 points is not ideal for A&M’s chances against the spread; look for Auburn to keep it within that margin, possibly even winning outright and cashing in on their (+170) moneyline odds.

Texas Longhorns Vs. Iowa State Cyclones Odds

  • Texas Longhorns +6.5 (-110)
  • Iowa State Cyclones -6.5 (-110)

The last matchup featuring an attractive underdog will feature the Texas Longhorns taking on the Iowa State Cyclones. The Longhorns currently sit as 6.5 point road underdogs after the spread opened at 5.5 points.

Iowa State has been one of the bigger disappointments in the NCAA this year, with the senior-loaded team dropping games to Iowa, Baylor, and West Virginia after being ranked #5 in the nation in the preseason rankings.

Texas has dropped three straight games, though each was to a ranked program (Baylor, Oklahoma State, and Oklahoma). Texas has covered the spread in 4 of the last 5 meetings between the two teams.

Both teams rank inside the top 50 in the NCAA in points scored per game, with Texas ranking 11th with 39.4 points per game and Iowa State ranking 42nd with 32.1 points per game. In another game with the makings of a shootout, take the better offense with the points - patient bettors might find the crucial +7 points spread for Texas as the game approaches, as the spread has been moving in that direction, though the current 6.5 points should be enough.