- Tyler Boyd features +120 odds to go over 3.5 receptions.
- A longest reception prop of 16.5 yards is -115 for the over.
- Boyd has posted five-year lows in most major receiving categories.
KANSAS CITY, Mo. – The spread continues to move and the now 1.5-point underdog Cincinnati Bengals will square off against the Kansas City Chiefs in the AFC Championship for the second straight year.
Tyler Boyd among other major receivers in the AFC Championship has been given various player props such as 3.5 receptions, 33.5 total receiving yards and a 16.5-yard longest reception. Online sportsbooks have given each of these approachable odds for the overs, being +120 for receptions and -115 for receiving yards and longest catch.
Boyd’s Down Year Has a Silver Lining
Tyler Boyd’s role in the Cincinnati Bengals offense has continually shrunk since the arrival of star wide receiver tandem Ja’Marr Chase and Tee Higgins. This year he posted five-year lows for targets, receptions, and receiving yards.
Despite these lows, Boyd has posted the second most yards per catch of his career at 13.1. With a longest reception prop of 16.5 that is -115 for the over, bettors will look to take advantage of Boyd’s impressive long-play ability. This year, Boyd has logged a 17+ yard reception in 10 of his 18 total games, including a 19-yard gain against the Chiefs in the regular season.
When Joe Burrow is the quarterback, Boyd went over his longest reception in two out of three games vs the Chiefs but last year’s AFC Championship saw him produce just 19 total yards and a long gain of nine yards.
While Boyd has had an underwhelming year, NFL bettors will look for him to emulate the huge streak he started the year off with, where he caught a 17+ yard reception in six of his first seven games. At -115 odds to go over, Boyd will have a solid shot to break a big play against the decidedly average Chiefs pass defense.
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Boyd Receptions Offers Value vs Chiefs Defense
With the best sportsbooks placing Tyler Boyd’s odds at +120 to go over 3.5 receptions, we can look at some career and matchup stats that will help bettors cash in.
In the regular season, Boyd averaged 3.6 catches per game, and reached four or more in eight of his 16 games. He has disappointed in the playoffs so far though, going over in neither and only managing four receptions total in the two games.
The Chiefs defense does help things a little, as they allowed the fifth most completions this year. Boyd has also enjoyed a fair bit of success in the receptions department against the Chiefs specifically, logging four catches exactly in all three games with Burrow.
The track record may give bettors some pause, but at +120 odds there is some good value profit potential compared to many of the other receivers. Tyler Boyd believers will look for the slot specialist to continue his three-game receptions prop streak against the Chiefs.
Tyler Boyd longest reception over 16.5 yards (-115)
Jeremias began writing 4 years ago after beginning his career at Florida State University. He mainly focuses on using analytics and statistics to educate readers on trends and discoveries to get a leg up on sportsbooks. He mainly focuses on NFL, NHL, and NBA. During his free time, you can find him researching, writing, and betting on various sports.