Under 51 Holds Value In Florida-Georgia Matchup This Week

  • The points total for this weekend’s Florida-Georgia game is set at 51 points after opening at 49.5, with both sides of the total holding (-110) odds on Bovada.
  • The Bulldogs have allowed 6.57 points per game to opponents, ranking first in the nation, while Florida ranks 32nd in the nation in points allowed per game.

JACKSONVILLE, Fla. – This week’s college football slate features one of the most storied rivalries in all of college football as the Florida Gators and the Georgia Bulldogs square off in Jacksonville, with kickoff scheduled for 3:30 PM ET.

Point Spread:

  • Georgia -14.5 (-105)
  • Florida +14.5 (-115)
  • Georgia -645
  • Florida +440
  • Over 51 (-110)
  • Under 51 (-110)

One of the top points of discussion for the game is the point total, currently set at 51 points after opening at 49.5 on internet sportsbooks.

Georgia has been – by far – the best defense in college football, allowing just 6.57 points per game on average (for reference, the second-best defense in the nation, Michigan, has allowed over double that amount per game).

Florida’s defense has also been stout in 2021, ranking 32nd in the country with 20.29 points allowed per game.

Georgia has been unbelievably good at limiting solid offenses: they shut out then-#8 Arkansas and allowed a combined 23 points to Auburn and Kentucky.

Florida’s scoring offense is ranked just below Auburn’s, with Florida ranking 26th in the nation with 34.4 points per game; however, Florida has played a soft schedule by SEC standards and have dropped each game against a solid opponent (Alabama, Kentucky, and LSU). The Gators’ best win on the year was a 38-14 victory over Tennessee.

In Florida’s three most difficult games, they have managed 28 points per game, nearly a touchdown less than their overall scoring rate for the season.

Georgia has even more offensive firepower – they rank 13th in the nation in points per game with 38.4; however, in their four games against ranked opponents on the year, the Bulldogs managed 27.75 points per game, over 10 points less than their year-long rate.

While Georgia certainly has the firepower and defensive prowess to cover the 14.5 point spread, it is unlikely that either team scores points in bunches, as evidenced by both teams’ decreased scoring rate against better competition.

Internet sportsbooks have Florida’s team total set at 17.5 points for the game; however, the odds are clearly leaning towards the under, with (-130) odds on the under for their team total and (EVEN) odds on the over. Meanwhile, Georgia holds identical (-115) odds for the over and under of their 32.5 point team total.

Expect the two defensive units to have relatively strong showings in this one, though Georgia’s defense will likely outperform Florida’s considering the slight edge Georgia holds on both offense and defense.

While Georgia may score around their projected team total of 32.5, it is unlikely Florida reaches their 17.5 point team total, which would make it very difficult for the total to go over. The total has gone under in each of Florida’s last 6 games against an opponent from the SEC East – look for this matchup to add another game to that trend.