Why the Dodgers Should Be Heavily Favored Over The Padres

  • The Padres and the Dodgers played 19 times in 2022, and the Dodgers won 14 of them.
  • On the run line (a Dodgers -1.5 spread), the Dodgers covered 13 times, while the Padres covered six.
  • If that spread gets bumped to Dodgers -2.5, the Dodgers still covered nearly every time, with 12 covers on a -2.5 spread.

LOS ANGELES– The NLDS kicks off on Tuesday with the San Diego Padres visiting the Los Angeles Dodgers for the first game of a five game series – and baseball betting fans should look to take the Dodgers -2.5.

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres

  • San Diego Padres +170
  • Los Angeles Dodgers -210

The Padres and Dodgers have played 19 times this season, with the Padres winning five times and the Dodgers winning 14.

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres Run Line Odds

  • San Diego Padres +1.5 (-120)
  • Los Angeles Dodgers -1.5 (+100)

The Dodgers were run line favorites in all 19 of the games the two teams played against each other in 2022.

The Padres were slightly more successful on the run line than they were straight up, covering the run line six times out of 19.

Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Diego Padres Alternate Line Odds

  • San Diego Padres +2.5 (-210)
  • Los Angeles Dodgers -2.5 (+155)

Online sportsbook Bovada is offering odds on alternate spreads, and this 2.5-run spread is notable in the context of the matchup between the two teams.

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One would think that moving from a 1.5-run spread to a 2.5-run spread would change a significant amount in terms of how many games that the Padres were able to cover.

In fact, it only bumps that number up by one – the Padres covered only seven of the 19 games on a 2.5 run spread.

In that context, it could be worth taking the Dodgers -2.5 rather than on the run line or the moneyline.