Week 7 CFB Trends: #5 Michigan Vs. #10 Penn State

  • Michigan has -115 odds to cover a -6.5-point spread over Penn State.
  • The point total for the game is set at 52 points.
  • Michigan leads the all-time series 15-10.

ANN Arbor, Mi. – A massive Big Ten matchup is scheduled for Week 7 between the #5 Michigan Wolverines and #10 Penn State Nittany Lions where Michigan is going in as a -6.5-point favorite. Making this even more of a powerhouse matchup is that both teams are going into the game with undefeated records. Michigan currently owns the series with 15 wins to Penn State’s 10.

Michigan Vs. Penn State

  • Moneyline: Michigan (-260) vs. Penn State (+215)
  • Spread: Michigan -6.5 (-115)
  • Total: 52 Points

Looking into the public betting trends, online betting sites are taking in some serious action on Penn State holding their own and covering the spread. They are seeing 69% of total bets. However, the moneyline is seeing the complete opposite as Michigan is taking in 78% of total bets.

Trends To Watch

Off the top, both teams sit with a similar record against the spread as Michigan sits at 3-3 with a +1.2 cover margin and a 31.7 winning margin while Penn State is 3-2 ATS at a +2.1 cover margin and 19.6 winning margin.

Diving in deeper on the Michigan side, they’ve been red-hot ATS in their last 20 games going 14-16 in that span. They have also played well in the month of October going 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games played in that month. In their last 12 Big Ten conference games, they’ve also gone strong with a 9-3 ATS record.

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On the Penn State side, they have really struggled in their last eight games against Michigan going 2-6 against the spread. There is some light to shine though in terms of their trends on the spread as they’ve gone 4-1 ATS in their last five road games. Other than that, there hasn’t been much else to praise about them. They are 7-13 straight up in their last 20 against Michigan and also 2-5 S/U in their last seven games played in October.

Looking at the game total college football oddsmakers have set a 52-point total, but even this could be seen as a bit too high. There are also strong trends that push towards the under including Michigan going 6-1 with the under in their last seven games and also 5-1 with the under in their last six home games against Penn State. Penn State has gone under n 12 of their last 18 games overall and is also 4-1-1 with it in their last six October games.

On the statistical side backing the under even further is that these are two of the top-5 defenses in the Big Ten. Michigan is allowing just 11.3 points per game while Penn State is letting up only 14.8 ppg.