UPDATE: Nadal pulled out of the semifinals due to a torn abdominal muscle. Kyrgios will advance to the finals by walkover.
- Nick Kyrgios, who entered Wimbledon unseeded, is a favorite over 22-time Grand Slam champion Rafael Nadal.
- Kyrgios’ -155 odds to beat Nadal make him the first unseeded player to be favored over Nadal in a Grand Slam since 2003.
- Nadal’s odds to win the whole tournament are now at +600, their lowest since the first round.
LONDON – Rafael Nadal has made the semi-finals of Wimbledon, where he’ll be matched up against Nick Kyrgios – as a significant underdog.
Nick Kyrgios Vs. Rafael Nadal Odds
- Nick Kyrgios -155
- Rafael Nadal +130
Nadal has not been the underdog to an unseeded player in a Grand Slam in almost 20 years.
Nick Kyrgios favored at -150 vs Rafael Nadal in the Wimbledon semifinals (odds via @BetMGM)
The only other time Nadal was an underdog to an unseeded player in a Grand Slam event was his 1st ever Grand Slam match at 17 yo (2003 Wimbledon, R1 vs Mario Ancic)
— SportsOddsHistory.com (@SOHistory) July 6, 2022
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Indeed, Nadal’s futures odds have also lengthened significantly according to online sportsbooks, given that he’s likely to be facing Novak Djokovic in a hypothetical final if he gets through Kyrgios.
Men’s Wimbledon 2022 Odds
- Novak Djokovic -400
- Nick Kyrgios +550
- Rafael Nadal +600
- Cameron Norrie +3300
Djokovic is a whopping -400 to win the tournament, and is all but certain to defeat Cameron Norrie as a -1400 favorite. Meanwhile, Nadal’s odds to win Wimbledon haven’t been this long since the first round.
He entered the first round of the tournament at +700 to win it, and after a first round victory, moved to +400.
Now, however, faced with a Kyrgios who handily dealt with Stefanos Tsitsipas, even pausing to serve between his legs, Nadal appears to be in trouble.
That Kyrgios’ run of form is such that it makes him a favorite even over the legendary Nadal, who is coming off of two Grand Slam wins.
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