- Josh Jacobs has a 917-yard fantasy projections but a 750.5 rushing yard total.
- Ezekiel Elliott has -130 odds to finish under 900.5 rushing yards and has finished outside of the top 15 running backs in the last two seasons.
- Leonard Fournette is projected at RB9 this season but has an 825.5 rushing total with -105 odds on the over.
LAS VEGAS – The NFL season is just around the corner and that means fantasy football is back. With fantasy football now back, bettors can use different players projections to gauge bets on their season totals in both yardage and touchdowns.
More specifically, the running back position is showing tons of value on three players. Josh Jacobs, Ezekiel Elliott, and Leonard Fournette’s projections are each showing that there is a profit to be made betting on their player props.
Josh Jacobs Total Rushing Yards
- Over 750.5 -115
- Under 750.5 -115
Josh Jacobs Total Rushing Touchdowns
- Over 7.5 -115
- Under 7.5 -115
ESPN’s fantasy football projections have Josh Jacobs going into the season listed as RB21 with projections of 917 rushing yards and 9 rushing touchdowns. These numbers are significantly higher than what his fantasy projections are and for good reason as he finished over in both categories last season.
While many might be concerned that Davante Adams target share will take away from Jacobs rushing count, think again. Any time Adams is on the field, it will always force opposing defenses to be on their heels taking the pressure off of Jacobs at the line which could open him up for big yardage. Looking at his touchdown total, he is expected to continue his team-leading efforts in the redzone as he got 46% of redzone rushing attempts last season which resulted in eight of his nine touchdowns.
Ezekiel Elliott Total Rushing Yards
- Over 900.5 +100
- Under 900.5 -130
Ezekiel Elliott Total Rushing Touchdowns
- Over 8.5 -110
- Under 8.5 -120
As for Zeke, he seems to be headed in a different direction as online sportsbooks have his rushing totals set fairly close to his low fantasy projections of 896 yards and 8 touchdowns. The emergence of Tony Pollard has certainly played a toll on Elliott’s streaky decline as they do split majority of carries on each drive.
Taking it even a step further, Pollard is projected to get a similar if not expanded roll as he is sitting just behind Elliott at RB31 with 768 projected rushing yards and a 700.5 total.
His touchdown total though is a different story as he was the clear redzone back for the Dallas Cowboys last season. He saw 42 redzone rushes for a 61.76% rushing share which resulted in all 10 of his touchdowns last season.
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Despite finishing outside of the top 15 in his last two seasons, he finished in the top 10 in the league in touchdowns and rushing attempts inside the five which is a strong indication to lean on his over for touchdowns.
Leonard Fournette Total Rushing Yards
- Over 825.5 -105
- Under 825.5 -125
Leonard Fournette Total Rushing Touchdowns
- Over 8.5 -115
- Under 8.5 -115
Of all the running backs on this list, Leonard Fournette is the highest projected going into the season at RB9 with a projected 926 yards and 9 rushing touchdowns. With his projections, bettors should be running to the over on both his yards and touchdown totals.
Ronald Jones finished with 80 attempts behind him last season. While a similar role could be seen this season from rookie Rachaad White, Fournette has the backfield to himself.
Backing the over on his touchdown total, he was fourth in the NFL in redzone rushing attempts at 43 in which he turned to 6 touchdowns.
Something to keep a note of as well is that Fournette was on pace for much bigger numbers last season but suffered an injury in Week 15 that sidelined him for the final games of the season. Had Fournette played, he surely would have been given higher player totals.
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